Comments on: Stalemate, Setup, or Counter-Counterattack? The Weird Winter of the Russia-Ukraine War https://paranormalactivity.org/stalemate-setup-or-counter-counterattack-the-weird-winter-of-the-russia-ukraine-war/ Exploring The Unknown Tue, 14 Mar 2023 00:54:25 +0000 hourly 1 https://wordpress.org/?v=6.5.4 By: Chuck P. https://paranormalactivity.org/stalemate-setup-or-counter-counterattack-the-weird-winter-of-the-russia-ukraine-war/#comment-20766 Tue, 14 Mar 2023 00:54:25 +0000 https://paranormalactivity.org/stalemate-setup-or-counter-counterattack-the-weird-winter-of-the-russia-ukraine-war/#comment-20766 Very clear and concise presentation. Many thanks. From Tampa, Florida.

]]> By: Ivan Pegoraro https://paranormalactivity.org/stalemate-setup-or-counter-counterattack-the-weird-winter-of-the-russia-ukraine-war/#comment-20767 Mon, 13 Mar 2023 23:42:47 +0000 https://paranormalactivity.org/stalemate-setup-or-counter-counterattack-the-weird-winter-of-the-russia-ukraine-war/#comment-20767 Fin da guerradroni cremipaz

]]> By: Wendell Larson https://paranormalactivity.org/stalemate-setup-or-counter-counterattack-the-weird-winter-of-the-russia-ukraine-war/#comment-20768 Mon, 13 Mar 2023 19:00:13 +0000 https://paranormalactivity.org/stalemate-setup-or-counter-counterattack-the-weird-winter-of-the-russia-ukraine-war/#comment-20768 Thanks!

]]> By: Ian Lelen https://paranormalactivity.org/stalemate-setup-or-counter-counterattack-the-weird-winter-of-the-russia-ukraine-war/#comment-20769 Mon, 13 Mar 2023 13:14:32 +0000 https://paranormalactivity.org/stalemate-setup-or-counter-counterattack-the-weird-winter-of-the-russia-ukraine-war/#comment-20769 Stalemates and quagmires lead to THE EVERYONE LOSES scenario. If that happens American support will wane, get out of bahkmut youre starting to lose support

]]> By: Kenneth Ng https://paranormalactivity.org/stalemate-setup-or-counter-counterattack-the-weird-winter-of-the-russia-ukraine-war/#comment-20770 Mon, 13 Mar 2023 06:47:29 +0000 https://paranormalactivity.org/stalemate-setup-or-counter-counterattack-the-weird-winter-of-the-russia-ukraine-war/#comment-20770 Great article. I do have a question. You lined up all the parties that are on the Ukraine side. What are the possible reprocussions if China and/or India come down on the Russian side?

]]> By: John Twineham https://paranormalactivity.org/stalemate-setup-or-counter-counterattack-the-weird-winter-of-the-russia-ukraine-war/#comment-20771 Sun, 12 Mar 2023 22:39:20 +0000 https://paranormalactivity.org/stalemate-setup-or-counter-counterattack-the-weird-winter-of-the-russia-ukraine-war/#comment-20771 The mention of 3 to 1 ratio seems to apply to head on tactical assaults, not strategic offensives, imo. When Germany invaded France in 1941, the combined Allied armies had approximately the same number of troops, twice as many tanks, and almost twice as much artillery as Germany had. Germany had more in the air theatre, but after transports and gliders are subtracted, only about a 4-3 superiority. Also, the tanks that Germany was using did not have the combat superiority they enjoyed later in the war; they were relatively under gunned vs the allied tanks they faced at that time. Mobile tactics attempt to avoid using your forehead to break through a brick wall; going around the wall or through a door causes less headaches.

]]> By: wdadwa wdadawdwdwa https://paranormalactivity.org/stalemate-setup-or-counter-counterattack-the-weird-winter-of-the-russia-ukraine-war/#comment-20772 Sun, 12 Mar 2023 20:32:56 +0000 https://paranormalactivity.org/stalemate-setup-or-counter-counterattack-the-weird-winter-of-the-russia-ukraine-war/#comment-20772 Dumb question: would it be possible via Datamining to predict Russias next move?

]]> By: Heart of Asia Society https://paranormalactivity.org/stalemate-setup-or-counter-counterattack-the-weird-winter-of-the-russia-ukraine-war/#comment-20773 Sun, 12 Mar 2023 18:56:32 +0000 https://paranormalactivity.org/stalemate-setup-or-counter-counterattack-the-weird-winter-of-the-russia-ukraine-war/#comment-20773 Very interesting analysis. Since you asked for opinions, I will give you mine, with the benefit of an additional month's worth of information since you wrote your piece. I am firmly in the "fairly good news for Ukraine camp", believing that the strategy is one of disproportionate attrition in favour of Ukraine. If Ukraine is getting 5:1 Russian casualties vs Ukrainian, then that is a good ROI. Pursue that strategy as long as it pays those dividends. And this appears to have been true.

The other pay-off is the total focus on this Bakhmut instead of a dozen other initiatives is a good thing. Over the past 4 months it has been beneficial to essentially cause a stalemate, assuming Ukraine will soon be able to launch new offensives with the tanks and other equipment it will be receiving.

Oh, and the third pay-off is the discord being sown between Wagner and the Russian Army HQ.

My only concern about the current situation in Bakhmut is the extent to which this has become a symbolic battle, which might distort Ukraine's perception of how to fight this battle. If Ukraine maintains a cold-blooded analysis of the cost-benefit of keeping the battle going (which means minimum 3:1 advantage, and ideally at least 5:1) plus stalling any new offensives until they are ready, then it's a good decision. But if Ukraine gets romantic and decides to "fight to the last man" and keep pouring resources into that battle, regardless of cost, then that is foolish. I fear that we might already be in that realm.

But whatever PR victory comes to whichever side, it will pale in consequence to the first big moves of the spring, when the tanks roll in. Once that happens, no one will care what happens in Bakhmut.

]]> By: cnccarving https://paranormalactivity.org/stalemate-setup-or-counter-counterattack-the-weird-winter-of-the-russia-ukraine-war/#comment-20774 Sun, 12 Mar 2023 15:39:19 +0000 https://paranormalactivity.org/stalemate-setup-or-counter-counterattack-the-weird-winter-of-the-russia-ukraine-war/#comment-20774 i dont know if see any videos from bakhmut

but heres some insight
the great ukrainien tactic is move in apartment shot a few times, then after russians discover it then move into in the next apartment
of course russia wont play hide n seek so they shot to ruin the building

city itself is about 30 sq KM
densely built
so how do you think anyone could make it faster trough?

or reversing the question why ukraine could not force out russians from bakhmut within 6 months?

then seeing whats happening in bakhmut its just a proof russia didnt want to focus on kharkov
and pulled back themselves
not ukraine fought them out

you can twist it on many way, but facts will stay facts

]]> By: Paul Starr https://paranormalactivity.org/stalemate-setup-or-counter-counterattack-the-weird-winter-of-the-russia-ukraine-war/#comment-20775 Sun, 12 Mar 2023 15:20:00 +0000 https://paranormalactivity.org/stalemate-setup-or-counter-counterattack-the-weird-winter-of-the-russia-ukraine-war/#comment-20775 RUSSIA IS OUT OF AMMOW- THE MEN SHOULD ENTER RUSIAN NOWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWW

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