National Weather Service meteorologists say Tuesday’s high for the Phoenix metropolitan area is forecast to hit 80 degrees. That would top the all-time high for that date, which was 78 degrees in 1994.

The high Wednesday for the Phoenix area is projected at 82 degrees, which would be another record. It’s expected to hit 79 Thursday, close to the all-time high for that date.

It will be in the 50s through Wednesday in Flagstaff and other parts of northern Arizona with daytime highs 5 to 10 degrees above normal.

Weather Service officials say it’ll be within a few degrees of record levels at some of the lower elevation areas, including Prescott and Cottonwood.
CLEVELAND – Extreme weather is not unusual in the United States.
This may sound like an obvious statement for many of you. But, based on what we’ve all been hearing on the news these days, some of you may have the impression that severe weather events in 2012 were more frequent and more dangerous than any other year in history.
Time for a different perspective.
As humans, we have short memories. Our historical perspective on weather events is limited by our age and experience. I remember my grandmother telling me that current winters were “nothing like the terrible winters she experienced as a kid.” We as humans tend to remember that “big” storm from our childhood that disrupted our lives in a way we will never forget. That memory colors our weather world forever. Today’s headlines, however, are trying to convince us that current weather extremes are worse than anything grandma lived through.
According to National Oceanic & Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), 2012 was the “second most extreme year on record” in the US. (behind 1998). NOAA officials write:
“2012 was a historic year for extreme weather that included drought, wildfires, hurricanes and storms; however, tornado activity was below average, according to an analysis released today by NOAA’s National Climatic Data Center.”
A friend of mine, Paul Homewood, writes a popular climate blog called “Not A lot of People Know That.” He loves to crunch the numbers. Homewood actually devised a system that would categorize extreme weather events by year and rank each year. He doesn’t think the weather extremes of 2012 were all that remarkable.
“With global warming failing to materialize as planned,” he wrote, “NOAA and others have been desperate to show that extreme weather is on the increase, and that mankind is responsible. In recent years, they have been running a ‘ US Climate Extremes Index ‘, and it is this index, (Picture 1, above), that they have based their claims around.”
But Homewood has real problems with this index.
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