Based on the results of the latest available studies, and in particular, on the 6th IPCC report, this film, produced by scientists in the framework of the European project EUCP, aims to present to the general public the climate changes expected in Europe in 2050. The researchers explain in an accessible way the variations in temperature and precipitation as well as the extreme climate events that European inhabitants will have to face.

This film provides the keys to understand how climate will reshape our landscapes and lifestyles over the coming decades. … and to enable us to better anticipate the need for human societies to adapt to this partly inevitable climate change.

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This film is available in several languages:
https://youtu.be/64xNugjI6jc
https://youtu.be/rfb-u2D-Y30
https://youtu.be/cDoDktvzOXg
https://youtu.be/vUJ65VD47PA
https://youtu.be/8CuqAN1z0Pk
https://youtu.be/x87yJrc4Oq4
https://youtu.be/n9Ej5E47TNI
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For more information:
– The European Climate Prediction System (EUCP)
http://www.eucp-project.eu
– The CNRS news website
https://news.cnrs.fr/climate-change
– IPCC-AR6, WGI
https://www.ipcc.ch/assessment-report/ar6/
– IPCC Interactive Atlas
https://interactive-atlas.ipcc.ch
– “Making climate projections conditional on historical observations”, Ribes et al. 2021
https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abc0671
– “Assessment of the European Climate Projections as Simulated by the Large EURO-CORDEX Regional and Global Climate Model Ensemble”, Coppola et al. 2021
https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JD032344 (paid access)
– “Understanding climate change from a global analysis of city analogues”, Bastin et al. 2019
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0217592
– “The first multi-model ensemble of regional climate simulations at kilometer-scale resolution part 2: historical and future simulations of precipitation”, Pichelli et al. 2021
https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-021-05657-4

Scientific Director: Samuel Somot (Météo France), Centre national de recherches météorologiques (CNRM – Météo France / CNRS)
Production: Emmanuel Somot, Yves Dorsi, https://www.vuxe.fr
Screenplay: Marina Martinez
Music: Tristan Lepagney
© CNRS, 2021

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This video was recorded on April 16th, 2021, and was first published on this channel on July 14th, 2021.

Items discussed include the following:
– Given the land and oceans continue to warm, EWEs will increase in frequency, severity, and duration.
– The toll EWEs are placing on our infrastructure and food supply.
– Both Hurricane Harvey and Katrina are discussed.
– The inevitable need for people to migrate inland from coastal cities as a result of Sea Level Rise (SLR) and EWEs.
– The reasons for the increase in EWEs is discussed.
– The EWEs we are seeing today can no longer be considered ‘natural.’
– The fact that according to the UN, EWEs have doubled in frequency over the last 20 years
– The fact that we can no longer count on the relatively stable climate of greater than 50 years ago, ‘The Holocene’, and that we have moved to a new age, ‘The Anthropocene’, where the climate will be much less stable
– The need for more aggressive activist movements to spur government action such as Extinction Rebellion.
– The impact of EWEs on crop yields

Articles, Papers, Links from Blue Slides:
– Global Trends 2040 from the National Intelligence Council
https://www.dni.gov/index.php/global-trends-home
– ‘Staggering’ rise in climate emergencies in last 20 years, new disaster research shows
https://news.un.org/en/story/2020/10/1075142
– Tropical nations aren’t ready for fish stocks to vanish
https://www.futurity.org/fish-stocks-climate-change-2288952/
– Floodlines, The story of an unnatural disaster
https://www.theatlantic.com/podcasts/floodlines/
– Extreme weather hits western farmers harder, UBC study finds
https://vancouversun.com/news/local-news/extreme-weather-hits-western-farmers-harder-ubc-study-finds
– Global energy investments set to recover in 2021 but remain far from a net zero pathway
https://www.iea.org/news/global-energy-investments-set-to-recover-in-2021-but-remain-far-from-a-net-zero-pathway
– Global migration, by the numbers: who migrates, where they go and why
https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2020/01/iom-global-migration-report-international-migrants-2020/

Panelists:
Dr. Peter Carter
– MD, Expert IPCC Reviewer and the director of the Climate Emergency Institute

Paul Beckwith
– Climate Systems Scientist. Professor at the University of Ottawa in the Paleoclimatology Laboratory as well as Carleton University

Regina Valdez
– Program Director, Climate Reality Project, NYC, GreenFaith Fellow and LEED Green Associate

Video Production:
Charles Gregoire
– Electrical Engineer, Webmaster and IT prime for FacingFuture.Earth & the Climate Emergency Forum; Climate Reality Leader

Heidi Brault
– Video production and website assistant,
– Organizer and convener, Metadata technician, COP26 team lead for FacingFuture.Earth and the Climate Emergency Forum; Climate Reality Leader

Our Website: https://climateemergencyforum.org/

Attributions
Background Music:
– Title: Through the City II
– Author: Crowander
– Source: Free Music Archive
– License: CC BY-NC 4.0

Image and Video:
https://climateemergencyforum.org/assets/attributions/2021-07-14-extreme-weather-events.html

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